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महा-राष्ट्र की ये गठ-बंधन की सर-कार कि-तने दि-न च-ल पा-ए-गी?

महा-राष्ट्र में नई सर-कार बनी है. शिव-सेना प्रमुख उद्ध-व ठा-करे महा-राष्ट्र के नए मुख्य-मंत्री बने है. महा-राष्ट्र के राज्य-पाल ने उन्हें नई सर-कार बना-ने का न्यो-ता दिया था और शिव-सेना-एनसीपी-कां-ग्रेस की गठ-बंधन सर-कार का श-पथ ग्रहण समा-रोह आज मुं-बई के शि-वाजी पार्क में होने जा रहा है.ऐसे में सवाल पूछा जा रहा है कि तीन पहियों की ये सरकार कितने दिन तक चल पाएगी? क्योंकि तीनों पार्टियां अलग-अलग विचारधाराओं की हैं.आइए आपको बताते है कि तीन मुख्य बातों पर निर्भर करेगा कि ये सरकार कितने दिनों तक चल सकती है.

पहली बात, पूर्व मुख्यमंत्री देवेंद्र फडणवीस ने कहा था कि ये तीनों पार्टियां एक साथ इसलिए आई, क्योंकि ये बीजेपी को सत्ता से बाहर रखना चाहती हैं. तीनों पार्टियां ने दावा किया है कि उन्होंने एक कॉमन प्रोग्राम बनाया है जो महाराष्ट्र के हित में है, वहीं देवेंद्र फडणवीस ने कहा कि ये कॉमन मैक्सिमम प्रोग्राम है, जिसका मक़सद भाजपा को सत्ता से बाहर रखना ही है.राजनीति के दो अलग-अलग ध्रुव है जिनमें से एक हिंदुत्व का समर्थन करने वाली विचारधारा है और दूसरी धर्मनिरपेक्षता की है. ये दोनों ध्रुव इसलिए मिले हैं क्योंकि ये तीसरे प्लेयर, जो देश की एक बड़ी पार्टी है भाजपा, उसे बाहर रखना चाहते हैं. इसलिए ये सरकार बनी है.

दूसरा बात इस सरकार का रिमोट कंट्रोल शरद पवार के पास होगा. वो ही इन तीनों पार्टियों को एक साथ लेकर आए हैं. ये सरकार कब तक चलेगी इसका जवाब शायद एक ही व्यक्ति के पास है और वो हैं शरद पवार. उन्होंने ही कांग्रेस को मनाया कि वो शिवसेना के साथ सरकार बनाएं और शिवसेना को भी उन्होंने एक तरह से उकसाया कि अगर इस वक्त आपने सरकार नहीं बनाई तो आपका मुख्यमंत्री कभी नहीं बन पाएगा.आपको बता दें कि शिवसेना और भाजपा चुनाव में एक साथ लड़े थे, लेकिन चुनाव के बाद दोनों के बीच मतभेद हो गया. क्योंकि शिवसेना चाहती थी कि ढाई साल के लिए उनका मुख्यमंत्री बने, लेकिन भाजपा इसके लिए मानी नहीं.

लेकिन तीसरा बड़ी वजह भाजपा ही होगी कि वो कब तक चाहती है कि ये सरकार चले. भाजपा यहां दो चीज़ें कर सकती है. एक तो वो ऑपरेशन लोटस चला सकती है.ऑपरेशन लोटस का मतलब वो कुछ सदस्यों से इस्तीफा दिलवा सकती है. फिलहाल इस गठबंधन के पास 166 का आंकड़ा है. मान लीजिए कि इनके 20 या 25 विधायकों को भाजपा एक-एक करके इस्तीफा दिलवा दे और बहुमत की सरकार को अल्पमत में ले आए. ये एक तरीका हो सकता है, लेकिन भाजपा इतनी मात खाने के बाद दोबारा ऐसा करेगी, ये फिलहाल कहना मुश्किल है.

ये तीन मुख्य कारण तय करेंगे कि महाराष्ट्र की ये नई सरकार कितने दिन तक चलेगी या कितने दिन तक टिकेगी.

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